My personal opinion is that we will not have a recession in the US by the end of 2019, barring some geopolitical or supply-side disruption (e.g., oil shock, war), as expressed in some form in these recent posts: Macro Outlook: Q1 2018 Update Economy/Market Looks Good Through October 2018 What does everyone else think? ___ POLL We will NOT have a recession by year-end 2019. Agree = No US recession by year-end 2019 Disagree = US recession will occur by year-end 2019